CO2 emission budget for 1.5 °C increase
The Special Report on Global Warming of 2018 gives some numbers on the CO2 emission budgets. One important number is 420 Gt of CO2 (see, in German). It's the amount that we, the people of the earth, are allowed to emit to not break the 1.5 °C temperature increase by a 66% chance (in this post called TEB, total emission budget). The amount of CO2 looks huge, but if you know that we emit around 35 Gt to 40 Gt a year it's not that much.
As I'm trying to get the facts on climate change a little more comprehensible I thought up some new ideas how to interpret the 420 Gt.
Like my post about ozone and CO2 I like the idea to use the height of the CO2 layer and its change caused by additional emissions. So how thick is the additional layer of CO2 that is "allowed"? And how much mass per square meter is this? Or what area does one ton of CO2 of that budget cover?
Here are the results:
This doesn't sound like a lot! One calculation that I found even more interesting is the CO2 per square meter:
That is an impressive number! Basically by emitting more than 823 g of CO2 you get 1 square meter of the earths surface breaking the 1.5 °C barrier! To get an idea of what 823 g means: A modern car emits around 100 g to 150 g per kilometer!
The last calculation is the area one ton of CO2 will push to the 1.5 °C increase of temperature.
In Germany the average emission of CO2 per person and year is around 9 tons (source). That means 10930.14 square meter (roughly (100 m)^2) reach the 1.5 °C increase per year and person.